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Netflix unexpectedly misses earnings expectations

Netflix unexpectedly misses earnings expectations

An unanticipated Brazilian tax led to a disappointing quarter for the streamer.

Known for breaking major streaming stories, he’s covered everything from Netflix policy shifts to Peacock’s ad-tier changes. A sci-fi fan and Toshiba Fire TV user, he brings sharp analysis and a love for the genre to his reporting.
Netflix is reporting its quarterly earnings for the third quarter of 2025 on Oct. 21.

Is it time to roll over into the fourth quarter of 2025 already? The year is almost done already, and the most recent sign that this is the case is Netflix sharing its third-quarter 2025 earnings. The world’s largest streamer isn’t sharing subscriber numbers any longer, but there are still plenty of interesting facts analysts can glean from its quarterly earnings report, and the results were surprisingly underwhelming for the normally reliable juggernaut.

Key Details:

  • Underwhelming quarter: Despite hitting $11.5 billion in revenue, Netflix missed projections for Q3.
  • Tex season: The streamer paid an unanticipated Brazilian tax after it became clear a legal challenge would fail.
  • Wall Street response: Netflix’s stock price dropped 7% after the earnings disappointment was reported.

Although Netflix doesn’t report subscriber totals itself any longer, estimates from Parrot Analytics suggested that the service had gained 32 million subscribers in the second quarter of the year. If true, that would mean Netflix is well on the way to the 350 million mark, with no ceiling in sight.

The streamer also hit record-high revenue last quarter, and it revealed that in Q3 its total revenue of $11.51 billion, an increase of 17.2% year over year. Operating income was reported at $3.24 billion, but its operating margin decreased from 34.1% to 28.2%.

A net income of $2.55 billion by Netflix for the quarter was reported, which indicates that the streamer is still maintaining a healthy profit margin, but that was under $2.98 billion forecast at the end of Q2. The reason behind the unanticipated decline, according to Netflix, is a 10% Brazilian tax on foreign companies operating in the country. Netflix decided to charge the tax to its Q3 balance sheet after it became clear that its legal challenge would not be successful.

“It’s not a tax that’s specific to Netflix. It’s not even specific to streaming,” Netflix CFO Spence Neumann said. “Absent this expense, we would have exceeded our Q325 operating income and operating margin forecast, and we don’t expect this matter to have a material impact on our results going forward.”

Revenue in the United States and Canada is now up to $5.07 billion, and that represents a 17% increase year-over-year. Revenue from Europe, the Middle East, and Africa jumped 18% YOY, and now sits at $3.7 billion. In Asia-Pacific, revenue has reached $1.37 billion, an increase of 10% from the year-ago quarter. Revenue in Latin America jumped 21% to $1.37.

Much of the talk around Netflix during the quarter was related to its pursuit of live sports. The streamer is expected to bid on a package of UEFA Champions League rights, and with the NFL able to opt out of its broadcast deals as soon as 2029-30, there has been plenty of talk about whether Netflix will go after a large package of games — though company officials have said it probably isn’t happening.

Netflix fans have a major release on Netflix to look forward to in Q4. The streamer will release the fifth and final season of “Stranger Things” in November, with the second half of Season 5 coming in December. That will surely bring a new batch of subscribers to the streamer, but whether or not Netflix will leak that number is not clear.

Netflix

Netflix is a leading subscription-based video streaming service that offers on-demand access to an extensive library of over 3,000 movies, 2,000+ TV shows, and a growing collection of acclaimed Netflix originals. Renowned for producing groundbreaking content, Netflix has become a cultural powerhouse with hit originals like “Stranger Things,” “Wednesday,” “Squid Game,” “The Crown,” “Tiger King,” “Bridgerton,” “The Witcher,” and “Black Mirror.”

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The platform constantly updates its catalog, introducing fresh content alongside timeless classics and international hits. Netflix’s commitment to storytelling has also earned critical acclaim, with award-winning exclusives such as “Roma,” “Marriage Story,” “The Power of the Dog,” “Mank,” and “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom.” In 2023, their animated film “Guillermo del Toro’s Pinocchio” won an Academy Award for Best Animated Feature, further solidifying Netflix’s reputation for high-quality content.

Recently, Netflix has expanded beyond standard movies and TV titles with the addition of video podcasts, and is also exploring a digital store that would offer third-party streamers within the app.

Netflix offers three plans – stream on 2 devices in HD with the “Standard with Ads” ($8.99) plan, on 2 devices in HD with the “Standard” ($19.99) plan, and 4 devices in up to 4K on the “Premium” ($26.99) plan.


David Satin has been a dedicated News Writer at The Streamable since 2022, covering a wide range of stories in the entertainment and streaming industries. With years of experience writing online, David previously worked as a list writer for Screen Rant, where he gained recognition for his extensive coverage of sci-fi and fantasy genres. His ability to break and analyze major stories has made him a trusted voice in the streaming world. Over the course of his career, Satin has become an integral part of The Streamable team, contributing to some of the most impactful stories in the industry.

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